Thursday, May 15, 2008

Markets: As Good With Elections As They Are With The Economy

> "What you're doing is collecting bits and pieces of information and aggregating it so we can watch it and understand what people know. People picked this up and called it the 'wisdom of crowds' and other things, but a lot of that is just hype." -California Institute of Technology economist Charles Plott > Interesting piece in the WSJ on prediction markets and politics, Traders' Calls Just as Bad On Elections. (I may have mentioned something about this in the past). "John McCain's p